urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b57344546d9a75ace0ae98630257694a426815f.014.2.IPAWSw-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:00ActualAlert211803 v2.3.0PublicIPAWSv1.0en-USMetStorm Surge WarningAvoidImmediateExtremeLikelySAMESSWNationalWeatherServiceSSW2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:002026-10-07T21:53:00-05:002026-10-08T06:00:00-05:00NWS Mobile ALStorm Surge Warning issued October 7 at 9:53PM CDT by NWS Mobile ALA Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Bagdad - Gulf Breeze - Navarre * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Cat 1 Hurricane force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 70-90 mph with gusts to 115 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Friday afternoon until early Saturday morning - Window for Hurricane force winds: Friday afternoon until Friday evening - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74 to 110 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or 2 hurricane force. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be rigorously underway. Prepare for considerable wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks. - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. - Large areas with power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: Friday morning until Saturday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of greater than 6 feet above ground. - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to completion before driving conditions become unsafe. - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or needlessly risk lives. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period. - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or severely flooded. - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss. - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to: - Santa Rosa County EMA: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency - For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts: - NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob http://www.weather.govAWIPSidentifierTCVMOBWMOidentifierWTUS84 KMOB 080253NWSheadlineHURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECTBLOCKCHANNELEASBLOCKCHANNELNWEMEAS-ORGWXRVTEC/O.NEW.KMOB.SS.W.1009.261008T0253Z-000000T0000Z/WEAHandlingImminent ThreatCMAMtextNWS: Life-threatening STORM SURGE danger. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.CMAMlongtextNational Weather Service: A STORM SURGE WARNING is in effect for this area for the danger of life-threatening flooding. This warning is issued up to 36 hours before hazardous conditions begin. Urgently complete efforts to protect life and property. Follow evacuation orders if given for this area to avoid drowning or being cut off from emergency services.Santa Rosa Coastal30.624,-87.025 30.615,-86.997 30.596,-86.975 30.596,-86.942 30.559,-86.919 30.528,-86.963 30.495,-86.966 30.471,-86.921 30.438,-86.823 30.451,-86.799 30.387,-86.800 30.371,-86.920 30.375,-86.920 30.396,-86.948 30.359,-87.149 30.352,-87.156 30.351,-87.176 30.343,-87.182 30.344,-87.185 30.361,-87.205 30.374,-87.177 30.368,-87.168 30.368,-87.146 30.384,-87.130 30.399,-87.088 30.403,-87.017 30.420,-86.979 30.461,-86.928 30.467,-86.955 30.505,-87.022 30.518,-87.013 30.532,-86.995 30.533,-87.003 30.549,-87.002 30.565,-86.998 30.573,-86.983 30.578,-86.991 30.581,-87.005 30.570,-87.002 30.563,-87.010 30.548,-87.015 30.539,-87.038 30.448,-87.068 30.447,-87.080 30.439,-87.091 30.447,-87.103 30.474,-87.094 30.499,-87.098 30.507,-87.095 30.531,-87.130 30.553,-87.143 30.562,-87.142 30.576,-87.151 30.542,-87.172 30.544,-87.180 30.550,-87.195 30.554,-87.201 30.555,-87.208 30.569,-87.219 30.595,-87.233 30.599,-87.246 30.606,-87.242 30.612,-87.259 30.615,-87.257 30.609,-87.191 30.564,-87.120 30.572,-87.064 30.582,-87.041 30.600,-87.052 30.602,-87.072 30.614,-87.078 30.625,-87.057 30.624,-87.025SAME012113UGCFLZ204es-USMetStorm Surge WarningAvoidImmediateExtremeLikelySAMESSWNationalWeatherServiceSSW2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:002026-10-07T21:53:00-05:002026-10-08T06:00:00-05:00NWS Mobile ALStorm Surge Warning issued October 7 at 9:53PM CDT by NWS Mobile ALA Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Bagdad - Gulf Breeze - Navarre * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Cat 1 Hurricane force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 70-90 mph with gusts to 115 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Friday afternoon until early Saturday morning - Window for Hurricane force winds: Friday afternoon until Friday evening - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74 to 110 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or 2 hurricane force. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be rigorously underway. Prepare for considerable wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks. - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. - Large areas with power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: Friday morning until Saturday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of greater than 6 feet above ground. - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to completion before driving conditions become unsafe. - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or needlessly risk lives. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period. - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or severely flooded. - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss. - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to: - Santa Rosa County EMA: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency - For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts: - NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob http://www.weather.govAWIPSidentifierTCVMOBWMOidentifierWTUS84 KMOB 080253NWSheadlineHURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECTBLOCKCHANNELEASBLOCKCHANNELNWEMEAS-ORGWXRVTEC/O.NEW.KMOB.SS.W.1009.261008T0253Z-000000T0000Z/WEAHandlingImminent ThreatCMAMtextSNM: Peligro de MAREJADA CICLONICA. SIGA LAS INSTRUCCIONES DE LOS OFICIALES LOCALES.CMAMlongtextServicio Nacional de Meteorologia: AVISO DE MAREJADA CICLONICA en efecto por peligro de inundaciones amenazantes a vida. Esto se emite hasta 36 horas antes del comienzo de las condiciones peligrosas. Complete sus preparativos para proteger vida y propiedad. Siga las ordenes de desalojo para evitar ahogamiento o aislarse de los servicios de emergencia.Santa Rosa Coastal30.624,-87.025 30.615,-86.997 30.596,-86.975 30.596,-86.942 30.559,-86.919 30.528,-86.963 30.495,-86.966 30.471,-86.921 30.438,-86.823 30.451,-86.799 30.387,-86.800 30.371,-86.920 30.375,-86.920 30.396,-86.948 30.359,-87.149 30.352,-87.156 30.351,-87.176 30.343,-87.182 30.344,-87.185 30.361,-87.205 30.374,-87.177 30.368,-87.168 30.368,-87.146 30.384,-87.130 30.399,-87.088 30.403,-87.017 30.420,-86.979 30.461,-86.928 30.467,-86.955 30.505,-87.022 30.518,-87.013 30.532,-86.995 30.533,-87.003 30.549,-87.002 30.565,-86.998 30.573,-86.983 30.578,-86.991 30.581,-87.005 30.570,-87.002 30.563,-87.010 30.548,-87.015 30.539,-87.038 30.448,-87.068 30.447,-87.080 30.439,-87.091 30.447,-87.103 30.474,-87.094 30.499,-87.098 30.507,-87.095 30.531,-87.130 30.553,-87.143 30.562,-87.142 30.576,-87.151 30.542,-87.172 30.544,-87.180 30.550,-87.195 30.554,-87.201 30.555,-87.208 30.569,-87.219 30.595,-87.233 30.599,-87.246 30.606,-87.242 30.612,-87.259 30.615,-87.257 30.609,-87.191 30.564,-87.120 30.572,-87.064 30.582,-87.041 30.600,-87.052 30.602,-87.072 30.614,-87.078 30.625,-87.057 30.624,-87.025SAME012113UGCFLZ204UPWCLTFz9rI6mosi9agY61mZHlWj0v9wuvLpZnS/FVw=Iv2QZ7d5rpjVppaZMXcRmuUafWTRQ4SfqL8C4czyPORsWSI/6fR7FjEETPUa5a2JVkIAmauNtSSU R/VZUwQ81giEGVp93EQ4qzAkZDlgMh/tTGXursHTM7HmZVg67aecWp3wxc7oi/ndS6lou3xUTU7x NCteICnThjEsFK4gy7foBu4po0dYxjWuH3dmti6LvbN1Mx158iRzcjjLGgMuuws3T0Q0PXNzu2AN vBDIjmrDBKQF8eJzGG6wbraIjNev5e98sAWKr57l3K/hixmu+N5VDzY0exheHRK35S0E9By/HXHf z47CyKNoDkhXExMcIV0pXsupcqhHVrBmteUCZQ==CN=IPAWSOPEN200032,OU=A01410D0000019A5E4549540014DF2C,OU=Devices IPAWS,OU=National Continuity Programs,O=FEMA IPAWS,C=USMIIHPzCCBSegAwIBAgIQQAGaXkVJb3yj70Q8FAqMbzANBgkqhkiG9w0BAQsFADBdMQswCQYDVQQG EwJVUzESMBAGA1UEChMJSWRlblRydXN0MSAwHgYDVQQLExdJZGVuVHJ1c3QgR2xvYmFsIENvbW1v bjEYMBYGA1UEAxMPSUdDIERldmljZSBDQSAyMB4XDTI1MTEwNzEyMjMxMFoXDTI4MTEwNjEyMjIx MFowgaUxCzAJBgNVBAYTAlVTMRMwEQYDVQQKEwpGRU1BIElQQVdTMSUwIwYDVQQLExxOYXRpb25h bCBDb250aW51aXR5IFByb2dyYW1zMRYwFAYDVQQLEw1EZXZpY2VzIElQQVdTMSgwJgYDVQQLEx9B MDE0MTBEMDAwMDAxOUE1RTQ1NDk1NDAwMTRERjJDMRgwFgYDVQQDEw9JUEFXU09QRU4yMDAwMzIw ggEiMA0GCSqGSIb3DQEBAQUAA4IBDwAwggEKAoIBAQCOdhA5DPitMFp6DUbiQZi/anJ6L9qtPrRz gZksP2aOSve50875b4yi2eMv2caKpF+lxtbmzxdZjRuV55TnCkn7HaaLpi+7nFP4aDB9DDw/Gnop 65nNzLvZ7MXpCC3ikJk09iSgwVaw6RGte9X2WyUoPaEmygjv1lsVx+JGohgvPxTtiZhQJyxkxbM5 rR2MAC5VjsrZNu3idfvd1B0EEGM1cVU9jpVuyiWK53k+vPuSOH/UWMXezzrBEwjtw1SMVv2/dxKz 79gaITMmF6z5QqDFV0cstzmyEZWhyoavCpXW4W+vU+FLO0IgXINzY34IsnFQ/cqGEJ6MtC63uM8f 2L7dAgMBAAGjggKwMIICrDAOBgNVHQ8BAf8EBAMCBaAwfQYIKwYBBQUHAQEEcTBvMCkGCCsGAQUF BzABhh1odHRwOi8vaWdjLm9jc3AuaWRlbnRydXN0LmNvbTBCBggrBgEFBQcwAoY2aHR0cDovL3Zh bGlkYXRpb24uaWRlbnRydXN0LmNvbS9jZXJ0cy9pZ2NkZXZpY2VjYTIucDdjMB8GA1UdIwQYMBaA FD+LR65hHetlI5XEOi3tu0jVIykiMIIBQwYDVR0gBIIBOjCCATYwDQYLYIZIAYb5LwBkJQEwggEj BgtghkgBhvkvAGQmATCCARIwSwYIKwYBBQUHAgEWP2h0dHBzOi8vc2VjdXJlLmlkZW50cnVzdC5j b20vY2VydGlmaWNhdGVzL3BvbGljeS9JR0MvaW5kZXguaHRtbDCBwgYIKwYBBQUHAgIwgbUMgbJD ZXJ0aWZpY2F0ZSB1c2UgcmVzdHJpY3RlZCB0byBSZWx5aW5nIFBhcnR5KHMpIGluIGFjY29yZGFu Y2Ugd2l0aCBJR0MtQ1AgKHNlZSBodHRwczovL3NlY3VyZS5pZGVudHJ1c3QuY29tL2NlcnRpZmlj YXRlcy9wb2xpY3kvaWdjL2luZGV4Lmh0bWwpLiBJR0MtQ1BTIGluY29ycG9yYXRlZCBieSByZWZl cmVuY2UuMEUGA1UdHwQ+MDwwOqA4oDaGNGh0dHA6Ly92YWxpZGF0aW9uLmlkZW50cnVzdC5jb20v Y3JsL2lnY2RldmljZWNhMi5jcmwwGgYDVR0RBBMwEYIPSVBBV1NPUEVOMjAwMDMyMB0GA1UdDgQW BBQ8QhNU0KQ6GUEOz5peBrNTppU+fDAxBgNVHSUEKjAoBggrBgEFBQcDAgYIKwYBBQUHAwUGCCsG AQUFBwMGBggrBgEFBQcDBzANBgkqhkiG9w0BAQsFAAOCAgEAXiYe+0catdoGF4nXiIoyywVkVTaG BacaUIjTceAJv35LhC5gwAM+O3OudKQQbMeIzOcjJluFc4vFjmzL/DxLLKk6IVVZQ+MXO8O5UZ6e 0hSwQv3mO+9JkCYL7M/GIJwiq6XuEiLS7wESwnHq2tIppZNfpcZcMSlQC+4hoUPJuVNU7QVFtvXe 6FaB/zDMTU3pzOuCxn/SNIhBKHVesE8n5soIp5q8U/R/I9vYM52NISzZcYPGUp6Snyd9mVqmxAo+ t3pAgsojLOrSBPLQoPoip/KeKCMahrumQuaHi6t3ML6IlCIuOeNnHEaxnUIWGD7kAswOKsqGGjMN JwXw6TeqrddvCg8Nd0SH7mWI/vjOq/ykZs2q6lB3b/5ur7YjGOdT3310R0VhZ8pxuyUTrR6EFlFR PkWhg46BaEiP1GtzmEW7wT0YStf4wvwDR3HkjpzNoBO92+iwhVHPKyl7T4METnDyTAD+aDn/Xtp/ pZePlh9uOkCqS7NOm6B4Hjra/iL3BQG2gwcE6XOzbETH6/ibKwMroFDAgqe8AA6xdmcajHBf7/wA maMrAQmgbINPpZWjMo3wf2IccUTVHxLaZj+yQZcWMuX9R2H84eTo/CfqmG1RyxcqO0Nd1BS8i8Ii YnCXXUlXkpl0xFj1R1xiGv8bd4l5AGjorijY2Wnub1m4Y4k=