<alert><identifier>urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b57344546d9a75ace0ae98630257694a426815f.012.2.IPAWS</identifier><sender>w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov</sender><sent>2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:00</sent><status>Actual</status><msgType>Alert</msgType><source>211803 v2.3.0</source><scope>Public</scope><code>IPAWSv1.0</code><info><language>en-US</language><category>Met</category><event>Storm Surge Warning</event><responseType>Avoid</responseType><urgency>Immediate</urgency><severity>Extreme</severity><certainty>Likely</certainty><eventCode><valueName>SAME</valueName><value>SSW</value></eventCode><eventCode><valueName>NationalWeatherService</valueName><value>SSW</value></eventCode><effective>2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:00</effective><onset>2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:00</onset><expires>2026-10-08T06:00:00-05:00</expires><senderName>NWS Mobile AL</senderName><headline>Storm Surge Warning issued October 7 at 9:53PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL</headline><description>A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Daphne
- Fairhope
- Foley

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 60 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Friday afternoon
until early Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be
rigorously underway. Prepare for considerable wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Friday morning until Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 6 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to
completion before driving conditions become unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or
needlessly risk lives.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Large areas of deep inundation in areas such as the
immediate shore of Mobile Bay, Mobile River Delta, and
tributaries of Perdido Bay. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended
period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary
roads washed out or severely flooded, including the US 90
Causeway.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and
stranded.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher
amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
few tornadoes.
- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
hazardous weather arrives.
- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Baldwin County EMA: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob
</description><web>http://www.weather.gov</web><parameter><valueName>AWIPSidentifier</valueName><value>TCVMOB</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>WMOidentifier</valueName><value>WTUS84 KMOB 080253</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>NWSheadline</valueName><value>HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>BLOCKCHANNEL</valueName><value>EAS</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>BLOCKCHANNEL</valueName><value>NWEM</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>EAS-ORG</valueName><value>WXR</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>VTEC</valueName><value>/O.NEW.KMOB.SS.W.1009.261008T0253Z-000000T0000Z/</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>WEAHandling</valueName><value>Imminent Threat</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>CMAMtext</valueName><value>NWS: Life-threatening STORM SURGE danger. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.</value></parameter><parameter><valueName>CMAMlongtext</valueName><value>National Weather Service: A STORM SURGE WARNING is in effect for this area for the danger of life-threatening flooding. This warning is issued up to 36 hours before hazardous conditions begin. Urgently complete efforts to protect life and property. Follow evacuation orders if given for this area to avoid drowning or being cut off from emergency services.</value></parameter><area><areaDesc>Baldwin Central</areaDesc><polygon>30.602,-87.407 30.573,-87.412 30.548,-87.435 30.522,-87.446 30.528,-87.514 30.502,-87.514 30.446,-87.496 30.471,-87.571 30.494,-87.570 30.493,-87.544 30.578,-87.527 30.603,-87.548 30.619,-87.527 30.612,-87.495 30.558,-87.481 30.583,-87.436 30.633,-87.412 30.655,-87.398 30.627,-87.394 30.609,-87.397 30.602,-87.407</polygon><polygon>30.659,-87.898 30.554,-87.883 30.441,-87.890 30.439,-87.864 30.483,-87.835 30.533,-87.827 30.537,-87.791 30.496,-87.753 30.481,-87.782 30.416,-87.788 30.425,-87.731 30.365,-87.737 30.363,-87.684 30.356,-87.683 30.348,-87.798 30.358,-87.815 30.370,-87.816 30.378,-87.810 30.379,-87.792 30.392,-87.759 30.406,-87.768 30.398,-87.797 30.406,-87.810 30.432,-87.810 30.441,-87.800 30.461,-87.801 30.463,-87.814 30.441,-87.833 30.399,-87.854 30.422,-87.898 30.488,-87.909 30.487,-87.934 30.542,-87.904 30.564,-87.903 30.586,-87.915 30.616,-87.913 30.626,-87.921 30.678,-87.998 30.789,-87.994 30.794,-87.991 30.794,-87.869 30.758,-87.871 30.757,-87.833 30.701,-87.843 30.659,-87.898</polygon><polygon>30.375,-87.603 30.362,-87.657 30.429,-87.653 30.427,-87.601 30.404,-87.602 30.399,-87.491 30.381,-87.481 30.375,-87.603</polygon><geocode><valueName>SAME</valueName><value>001003</value></geocode><geocode><valueName>UGC</valueName><value>ALZ264</value></geocode></area></info><info><language>es-US</language><category>Met</category><event>Storm Surge Warning</event><responseType>Avoid</responseType><urgency>Immediate</urgency><severity>Extreme</severity><certainty>Likely</certainty><eventCode><valueName>SAME</valueName><value>SSW</value></eventCode><eventCode><valueName>NationalWeatherService</valueName><value>SSW</value></eventCode><effective>2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:00</effective><onset>2026-10-07T21:53:00-05:00</onset><expires>2026-10-08T06:00:00-05:00</expires><senderName>NWS Mobile AL</senderName><headline>Storm Surge Warning issued October 7 at 9:53PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL</headline><description>A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Daphne
- Fairhope
- Foley

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 60 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Friday afternoon
until early Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect life and property should now be
rigorously underway. Prepare for considerable wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.

* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Friday morning until Saturday morning

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 6 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to
completion before driving conditions become unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or
needlessly risk lives.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Large areas of deep inundation in areas such as the
immediate shore of Mobile Bay, Mobile River Delta, and
tributaries of Perdido Bay. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended
period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary
roads washed out or severely flooded, including the US 90
Causeway.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and
stranded.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: 4-8 inches, with locally higher
amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches
may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
few tornadoes.
- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
hazardous weather arrives.
- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to:
- Baldwin County EMA: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts:
- NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob
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